Ministry of Agriculture Releases First Advance Estimates

The Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers’ Welfare (MoA&FW) has released its First Advance Estimates for the production of major agricultural crops during the 2024-25 Kharif season (monsoon season). These estimates predict a significant increase in overall food grain and oilseed production compared to the previous year.

The total Kharif food grain production is projected to be 1647.05 Lakh Metric Tonnes (LMT), surpassing the previous year by 89.37 LMT and the average Kharif production by 124.59 LMT.

Rice production is also expected to reach a record high of 1199.34 LMT, exceeding the prior year’s output by 66.75 LMT and the average Kharif production by 114.83 LMT.

Maize production is estimated at 245.41 LMT, and Nutri/Coarse Cereals are estimated at 378.18 LMT, marking significant increases.

Kharif pulses production is expected to reach 69.54 LMT.

The total Kharif oilseed production is anticipated to be 257.45 LMT, showing a rise of 15.83 LMT compared to the previous year. Both Groundnut and Soybean production are expected to see significant improvement.

Sugarcane production is estimated at 4399.30 lakh tonnes, Cotton production at 299.26 lakh bales, and Jute & Mesta production at 84.56 lakh bales.

Methodology and Accuracy

These estimates are primarily based on data received from states, validated with information from Remote Sensing, weather monitoring agencies, and stakeholder consultations.

For the first time, data from the Digital Crop Survey (DCS) was utilized for area estimation in four states – Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, and Odisha. This digital survey promises a more robust approach to crop area estimation compared to the traditional Girdawari system.

Crop yield estimates are based on trends and ground-level inputs, and will be further refined based on actual yield data obtained during harvesting through Crop Cutting Experiments.

Availability of Information

Detailed information on these First Advance Estimates for 2024-25 (Kharif only), along with comparisons to previous estimates, can be accessed here.

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